by Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette,
1999
| |
1998A
|
1999E
|
2000E
|
2001E
|
2002E
|
2003E
|
2004E
|
| Total
U.S. Paging Market Subscribers * (M) |
51.0 |
52.5 |
53.5 |
55.0 |
57.0 |
59.5 |
62.5 |
| % Change
Year to Year |
4.1% |
2.9% |
1.9% |
2.8% |
3.6% |
4.4% |
5.0% |
| Net Additions
|
2.0 |
1.5 |
1.0 |
1.5 |
2.0 |
2.5 |
3.0 |
| United States
Population |
268.7
|
270.5
|
272.4
|
274.3
|
276.3
|
278.2
|
280.2
|
| Market Penetration
|
19.0%
|
19.4%
|
19.6%
|
20.0%
|
20.6%
|
21.4%
|
22.3%
|
|
|
|
| One-Way
Paging Subscribers (M) |
50.5 |
51.5 |
51.5 |
50.0 |
47.0 |
42.5 |
36.5 |
| % Change
Year to Year |
3.5% |
2.0% |
0.0% |
-2.9%
|
-6.0%
|
-9.6%
|
-14.1%
|
| % of Total
Paging Industry |
99.0%
|
98.1%
|
96.3%
|
90.9%
|
82.5%
|
71.4%
|
58.4%
|
| Net Additions
(M) |
1.7 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
-1.5 |
-3.0 |
-4.5 |
-6.0 |
| Incremental
Share of Net Additions |
85.1%
|
67.4%
|
0.0% |
-100.0%
|
-150.0%
|
-180.0%
|
-200.0%
|
|
|
|
| Two-Way
Paging Subscribers (M) |
0.5 |
1.0 |
2.0 |
5.0 |
10.0 |
17.0 |
26.0 |
| % Change
Year to Year |
139.7%
|
95.5%
|
100.0%
|
150.0%
|
100.0%
|
70.0%
|
52.9%
|
| % of Total
Paging Industry |
1.0% |
1.9% |
3.7% |
9.1% |
17.5%
|
28.6%
|
41.6%
|
| Net Additions
(M) |
0.3 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
3.0 |
5.0 |
7.0 |
9.0 |
| Incremental
Share of Net Additions |
14.9%
|
32.6%
|
100.0%
|
200.0%
|
250.0%
|
280.0%
|
300.0%
|
| |
* Historical subscribers are based
on Economic and Management Consultants International, Inc. (EMCI) report.
A = Actual
E = Estimate
M = Millions
Source: PCIA Wireless Market Portfolio, 1999 Edition.
Graph showing
subscriber growth
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